2024 Kentucky Derby horses, futures, odds, date: Expert who hit 10 Derby-Oaks Doubles shares picks (2024)

The 2024 Kentucky Derby will run on Saturday, May 4 from Churchill Downs. If you are looking for a horse outside of the top 2024 Kentucky Derby favorites to include in your 2024 Kentucky Derby bets, should you consider Honor Marie for the first leg of horse racing's Triple Crown? Honor Marie has two victories and two second-place finishes over five career races and has run against several of the favorites in the 2024 Kentucky Derby field. Honor Marie is 16-1 in the latest 2024 Kentucky Derby odds. Fierceness is the 3-1 favorite among the 2024 Kentucky Derby horses.

Sierra Leone (7-2) and Catching Freedom (8-1) have the next shortest Kentucky Derby odds 2024. Honor Marie finished fifth in the Risen Star, which Sierra Leone won, and was second behind Catching Freedom in the Louisiana Derby in his most recent run. Before making any 2024 Kentucky Derby picks, be sure to see the horse racing predictions and futures bets from SportsLine's elite horse racing expert Jody Demling.

A fixture in the horse racing world who has been writing about, talking about and betting on races for years, Demling enters the 2024 Kentucky Derby having nailed the winner of the Belmont Stakes four of the last six years, including an exacta in 2022 with Mo Donegal and Nest. He also called Flightline's win at the Breeders' Cup Classic in November of that year.

Demling is at his best in the biggest horse races in the world like the Kentucky Derby 2024. In fact, he has hit 10 of the last 15 Derby-Oaks doubles at Churchill Downs. That means he held a ticket with the winners of both races all but five times in the last 15 years. He's also called 10 of the last 19 Preakness winners, including nailing his Preakness winner, exacta and superfecta picks in 2023, keenly understanding when the Kentucky Derby winner was poised for victory or a massive upset. Anyone who has followed him is up huge.

Now, with the 2024 Kentucky Derby odds already on the board, Demling is sharing his picks and 2024 Kentucky Derby predictions over at SportsLine. Go here to see them.

Top 2024 Kentucky Derby predictions

One of Demling's surprising 2024 Kentucky Derby picks: He is fading Fierceness, even though he's the top favorite and just won the Florida Derby. The Florida Derby is one of the most high-profile races on the Road to the Kentucky Derby, with the winner guaranteed a spot at Churchill Downs. However, since 2010, only three horses have won the Kentucky Derby after taking the Florida Derby and none since Always Dreaming in 2017.

Fierceness, owned by Mike Repole, has won three of five career races, including both of his Grade 1 runs. Repole owned Forte, who won last year's Florida Derby, but was scratched as the Kentucky Derby favorite with a foot injury. Repole hasn't had a horse finish higher than fifth in seven Kentucky Derby runs, and although Fierceness' recent success may be enticing, Demling doesn't see the value in including this favorite in 2024 Kentucky Derby bets.See which other 2024 Kentucky Derby horses to avoid at SportsLine.

Another stunner: Demling is high on Resilience, even though he's a 35-1 longshot. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. A son of Into Mischief out of the Smart Strike mare Meadowsweet, Resilience is trained by hall of famer Bill Mott, who won the 2019 Kentucky Derby with Country House after Maximum Security was disqualified for aggressive riding.

After failing to break his maiden in three attempts as a two-year-old, Resilience finally found his way to the winner's circle on New Year's Day at Gulfstream Park. He followed that up with a fourth-place finish at the Risen Star Stakes and broke through with a win at the Wood Memorial to qualify for the 2024 Kentucky Derby. He's shown tactical speed as a three-year-old and with his speed figures on the rise, Demling believes he could be a serious threat in May at Churchill Downs.See which other horses to back at SportsLine.

How to make 2024 Kentucky Derby picks, bets

Demling is especially high on an epic double-digit longshot who "keeps getting better and better."Demling is sharing which horse it is, along with his entire projected 2024 Kentucky Derby leaderboard, over at SportsLine.

Which horse wins the Kentucky Derby 2024, and which double-digit longshot is a must-back? Check out the latest 2024 Kentucky Derby odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Demling's picks for the Kentucky Derby, all from the expert who nailed 10 Derby-Oaks doubles.

2024 Kentucky Derby odds, futures